Volatility is back, and it will only continue to pick up due to the number of earnings reports on the calendar. The indexes are bouncing well today, and the VIX has come back below 17, but that doesn’t mean big movement is done.
This is especially true today and tomorrow because we have a critical report from Tesla (TSLA) after the market close. Check out my calendar below:
The Tesla Effect
Tesla is trading slightly above lows on the year, as it has rolled over hard going into earnings. It has experienced major gaps lower in the last four quarters in a row. Not only can TSLA fall hard post-earnings, but it can also keep falling after the report, hurting the Nasdaq and the rest of the upcoming mega-cap tech stocks.
Tesla: Earnings Hot Zone
Check out my stats from the Earnings Hot Zone Indicator in TSLA down below:
It’s typical for the Nasdaq to struggle if Netflix (NFLX) and Tesla (TSLA) kick off mega-cap earnings with lackluster results. Will that be the case tomorrow? I think it’s highly probable, but in this case, Tesla has already fallen so much that making a small short squeeze bet to the upside, in addition to some bearish trades, makes sense.
Mega-Cap Tech Earnings
After TSLA reports, the market will wait for heavy hitters, including Meta (META), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOGL), Roku (ROKU), Intel (INTC), and more on Wednesday and Thursday.
How are you trading them? Join us in the trading room as we make our bets. I will likely trade these with out-of-the-money butterflies if I want to make a directional bet or iron condors if I stick with a neutral bet. Based on what we have seen this season so far, betting on a greater-than-expected move has generally been the way to go.
