It’s A Trap: What to Look for When Trading By the 100 SMA

This week Allison Ostrander, Director of Risk Tolerance, shares a bearish trend pattern that sets up potential traps for bulls when price is trading near the 100 simple moving average (SMA).

Allison graduated with a Bachelor of Fine Arts degree in Theatre and learned to trade to avoid being a starving artist while pursuing theatre. She now has over a decade of trading experience and a unique view of how to look at Capital Risk, the Charts, and the Option Chain.

With SPX attempting to break above the 100 simple moving average (SMA) currently, let’s review a setup to watch, both for the market as well as individual symbols, if SPX starts to fail at the 100 SMA.

In the video above, Allison walks through a potential trap setup for bulls. This occurs when a chart is in a bearish trend and price attempts to break above the 100 SMA. If price fails and drops below the 100 SMA, does a second retest, and cannot break above the 100 SMA, this is a potential trap for bulls. Allison will review her tweets warning followers of these traps as well as the current charts for new setups to eye.

You’ll hear Allison discuss the Divergent Bar indicator in the video, her proprietary indicator used to identify if you will see a potential higher high or lower low within the next three bars. When the setup discussed creates a Bearish Divergent Bar holding the 100 SMA as resistance, it can make for a great short entry.

May the trade be with you,

Allison Ostrander

Up Next...

Summer Seasonality, Gold Breakout, Fox Business Recap, and more

August 19, 2026 Hey traders and investors, As we head into the final stretch of August, it’s worth remembering that this time of year often brings seasonal quiet and weakness. The end-of-summer doldrums can leave markets thin, with lower volume and a tendency for consolidations or mild pullbacks as traders ease into the typically softer … Read more

How Short Squeezes Occur – And Why I Watch & Trade Them in the Options Market

August 14th, 2026 Yesterday, I wrote to you about short squeezes in NBIS & SPCX. The short squeeze is one of my favorite setups! This morning, I took profits on NBIS again, and I’m always eyeing new entries. So, I wanted to take a few minutes to break down this trading setup and explain why … Read more

Trading SPCX & NBIS: Post-Earnings Short Squeezes

August 12th, 2026 We continue to see explosive post-earnings moves in the stock market, with two notable moves occurring today in both SpaceX and Nebius. I’ve been less focused on trading the earnings reports themselves and more on trading pre- and post-earnings moves, which are more consistent than overnight earnings trades.  SpaceX (SPCX) Last week’s … Read more

Subscribe Today!

Want my up-to-date analysis, setups, top trading tips, and more? Be a Five Star trader, and join my free newsletter today!

Sign Up Now