It’s A Trap: What to Look for When Trading By the 100 SMA

This week Allison Ostrander, Director of Risk Tolerance, shares a bearish trend pattern that sets up potential traps for bulls when price is trading near the 100 simple moving average (SMA).

Allison graduated with a Bachelor of Fine Arts degree in Theatre and learned to trade to avoid being a starving artist while pursuing theatre. She now has over a decade of trading experience and a unique view of how to look at Capital Risk, the Charts, and the Option Chain.

With SPX attempting to break above the 100 simple moving average (SMA) currently, let’s review a setup to watch, both for the market as well as individual symbols, if SPX starts to fail at the 100 SMA.

In the video above, Allison walks through a potential trap setup for bulls. This occurs when a chart is in a bearish trend and price attempts to break above the 100 SMA. If price fails and drops below the 100 SMA, does a second retest, and cannot break above the 100 SMA, this is a potential trap for bulls. Allison will review her tweets warning followers of these traps as well as the current charts for new setups to eye.

You’ll hear Allison discuss the Divergent Bar indicator in the video, her proprietary indicator used to identify if you will see a potential higher high or lower low within the next three bars. When the setup discussed creates a Bearish Divergent Bar holding the 100 SMA as resistance, it can make for a great short entry.

May the trade be with you,

Allison Ostrander

Up Next...

A Shaky Nasdaq, Mag 7 Earnings, Staples Buys, and more…

  July 17, 2026 Market Snapshot Today’s price action delivered a clear technical break. Major indexes sliced through key support and took out both the June and July lows in the Nasdaq. The hot AI names that have led this entire move are showing classic signs of exhaustion. Despite the breakdown, the put/call ratio spiked … Read more

Banks Crush Earnings, Fed Gets Ignored, Mag 7 Breakout Begins

  Wednesday, July 15, 2026 Good afternoon, traders! Let’s break down exactly what moved the market yesterday and why the technical picture is turning bullish. Bank Earnings: Absolutely Fantastic The major banks delivered outstanding Q2 results, and the market loved every bit of it. JPMorgan, Bank of America, and Wells Fargo all beat on both … Read more

Bank Earnings, Mag 7, Semiconductors & more…

7.10.26 Magnificent 7: Still Lagging, But AI Leadership Remains Intact The Mag 7 basket continues to be one of the weaker areas of the market in terms of relative strength, with the clear exceptions of Apple, Alphabet, and Nvidia. Tesla is attempting to make a comeback, and I’m betting it will do so when Optimus … Read more

Subscribe Today!

Want my up-to-date analysis, setups, top trading tips, and more? Be a Five Star trader, and join my free newsletter today!

Sign Up Now