A break in the market As you know, on August 5th the stock market broke it’s June and July ebb and flow higher, and turned into a news driven, volatile, market. Throughout this time, we’ve had varying statistics, facts, policies, and opinions throwing the market back and forth. And the technicals haven’t been able to … Read more
“Fight the need for certainty” – John Carter As I sit here, watching the market fall out of bed — it just dropped over 50 S&P points in 25 minutes — I’m reminded, yet again, one of the most important pieces of any trading plan… “Anything can happen.” This is one of my favorite pieces … Read more
Monday’s have never been my favorite trading day, really until this year. Maybe it’s because John always told me he never traded on Mondays — I’m not sure. But, yesterday went swimmingly. With a combo of my stacked trades, I’m currently up over 2k between my two options accounts, with BYND, MSFT, TWLO, ZTS making … Read more
The S&P hitting 3,000. Back in March, 2019, I discussed the behavior of the market leaders, particularly Microsoft and the cloud computing industry, and noted that since those leaders were continuing to push higher — the market would as well. I called a $3,000 price target for the S&P, with Microsoft leading the way… and … Read more
Now, no one’s calling it a debt bubble — yet. Probably because it hasn’t burst. But, we are. Why? We’re looking at the signs and remembering 2007 with the subprime mortgage crisis. It was caused by lenders giving out loans to people who really shouldn’t have qualified, and then, when they got too stretched, they … Read more
What about the Canary? Remember in the last episode, where we discussed the short squeeze I was waiting for, along with three potential, macro, bullish catalysts? Those three catalysts being: 1) a resolution of the trade war with China without further escalation, 2) threats against Mexico not coming to fruition, and 3) a rate cut … Read more
A tariff macro-theme update. New York City is awesome! While I’m jam-packed with media appearances in the Big Apple, this market is too interesting to not talk about… even from a cab stopped in Time Square traffic. Overall, I’ve viewed the indexes as oversold over the course of the past week, with the market pricing … Read more
& the weakening of the Indexes Last week, we discussed the changing market conditions, as the market began to make a steeper pullback than what it’s done previously, throughout 2019. We also discussed potential buys, only once the market bottoms out, and buyers begin coming in. We also talked about the potential break of key … Read more
In the last edition, we discussed strategies to use to prepare for market pullbacks. Market pullbacks are just part of our reality as traders. For me, like I noted, I tend to stick with a swing trading approach and hold through a minor reversion to the mean. Typically, especially on a news related drop like … Read more
Last week, I wrote to you about FAANG earnings, and I noted the volatility that this week in earnings season can cause. Now, at the end of the day, I always think it’s better to be overly cautious rather than overextended. The consequences of the latter are much worse. However, in this instance, I feel … Read more